South Africa’s Springboks need to beat the All Blacks and score four tries
whilst also preventing their opponents from earning a bonus point to win the
Rugby Championship title.
The Rugby Championship title will be decided in this match and New Zealand
– who are the only unbeaten team in the tournament need just one bonus point
to retain the title.
If the All Blacks lose the match but score four tries they will retain the
Rugby Championship title. The same applies if the All Blacks draw the match
or even lose the match and finish within seven points of the Springboks.
There is little chance that the All Blacks will go into this match with the
goal of winning the tournament through a bonus point and they will be targeting
another victory.
South Africa’s Springboks have only lost one match so far this year and that
was in Auckland when Bismarck du Plessis was red carded. They played most of
the match with 14 players but the All Blacks finished the match with 13 players
on the field.
The Springboks have played the All Blacks 86 times since 1921 and they have
won 34 times and lost 49 times.
There have been three draws between the teams over the years but overall the
Springboks have won 40% of their matches against the All Blacks.
The average score when the Springboks play the All Blacks across all venues
is South Africa 15 New Zealand 19.
This weekend the match between the teams will be played in South Africa so
the Springboks have home advantage.
The Springboks have had home advantage over the All Blacks 44 times and they
have won 24 of those matches or 55% of the clashes.
Across all venues in South Africa the average score when they face the All
Blacks is South Africa 18 New Zealand 18.
From those 44 test matches between the Springboks and All Blacks played in
South Africa 11 of them were played at Ellis Park.
That gives the Springboks a record of winning 73% of their matches against
the All Blacks at Ellis Park.
The average score when the Springboks play the All Blacks at Ellis Park is
South Africa 23 New Zealand 19.
While the All Blacks have won the last three matches against the Springboks
across all venues the Springboks have won the last two at Ellis Park. The last
time New Zealand won at Ellis Park was in 1997.
The All Blacks will head to Ellis Park with some confidence though as the last
two matches between them and South Africa in Johannesburg were both played in
Soweto and the All Blacks won both of those.
In fact, the last time the Springboks beat the All Blacks in Johannesburg was
almost 10 years ago as it was in 2004.
In terms of selection the All Blacks will be without Dan Carter again but they
will have their captain back for this match as Richie McCaw returns from an
injury he sustained playing against Argentina in Round 3.
Aaron Cruden fills in for Carter in the backline and McCaw’s return is the
only change to the line up that picked up a bonus point victory in Argentina
last week.
The Springboks on the other hand have made two changes for this week with Bismarck
du Plessis returning to the starting line up and Juandre Kruger comes in at
lock for Flip van der Merwe who has been suspended for this week.
In recent times the All Blacks have had the edge of the Springboks and the
last time South Africa beat New Zealand was in 2011 but that was a second string
All Black team ahead of the Rugby World Cup.
Out of the last eight matches between the teams the only South African victory
was the one in Port Elizabeth. In full strength vs strength matches the last
Springbok victory over the All Blacks was in 2009.
The Bookies
have given South Africa a 1 point start for this Match - with
an offer of a FREE $150 BET. The All Blacks don’t
have a great record at Ellis Park but in recent clashes they have had the edge
so we think they will just sneak home. New Zealand should win it by 2.
This Match will be shown on TV in NZ, Aus, SA and in the UK on Sky Sports 4/HD.
Average score: South Africa 15 New Zealand 19
Last five results
14 Sep 2013 SAF v NZL 15-29 Eden Park, Auckland
06 Oct 2012 SAF v NZL 16-32 Soweto, Johannesburg
15 Sep 2012 SAF v NZL 11-21 Otago Stadium, Dunedin
20 Aug 2011 SAF v NZL 18-5 N. Mandela Bay, Pt Elizabeth
30 Jul 2011 3 SAF v NZL 7-40 Westpac Trust, Wellington
South Africa’s overall record against New Zealand
Played 86 ,Wins 34 ,Losses 49, Draws 3
Match No.11 :South Africa v New Zealand
Date : 5 Oct 2013
Venue : Ellis Park, Johannesburg, South Africa
Referee: Nigel Owens
Assistant Ref 1:John Lacey
Assistant Ref 2:Leighton Hodges
TMO : Graham Hughes
Teams
South Africa
15. Zane Kihner , 14. Willie le Roux , 13. JJ Engelbrecht / Jan Serfontein
, 12. Jean de Villiers (c), 11. Bryan Habana , 10. Morne Steyn , 9. Fourie du
Preez , 8. Duane Vermeulen , 7. Willem Alberts, 6. Francois Louw , 5. Juandre
Kruger, 4. Eben Etzebeth, 3. Jannie du Plessis , 2. Bismak du Plessis, 1.
Tendai Mtawarira
Replacements:16. Adriaan Strauss , 17. Gurthro Steenkamp , 18. Coenie Oosthuizen
, 19. Franco van der Merwe, 20. Siya Kolisi , 21. Ruan Pienaar , 22. Pat Lambie
, 23. Jan Serfontein / Juan de Jongh
New Zealand
15.Israel Dagg, 14.Ben Smith, 13.Conrad Smith, 12.Ma’a Nonu, 11.Julian Savea,
10.Aaron Cruden, 9.Aaron Smith, 8.Kieran Read, 7.Richie McCaw (c), 6.Liam Messam,
5.Sam Whitelock, 4.Brodie Retallick, 3.Charlie Faumuina, 2.Andrew Hore, 1.Tony
Woodcock
Replacements: 16.Dane Coles, 17.Wyatt Crockett, 18.Ben Franks, 19.Steven Luatua,
20.Sam Cane, 21.Tawera Kerr.Barlow, 22.Beauden Barrett, 23.Charles Piutau.
Article source: http://www.thisiscornwall.co.uk/Rugby-s-Cornish-Pirates-coming-Par-Beach-Lankelly/story-19601660-detail/story.html
South Africa vs New Zealand TRC Rd.6 Preview
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