Behemoth Manu Tuilagiâs doesnât make Englandâs squad for the Welsh visit to Twickenham this Sunday so he may well tog out in Italyâs Stadio Olimpico next week. Thatâll certainly open the doors for a serious scoreboard in Englandâs favour. In the meantime Ireland will be back in Paris where France can be awful and still beat anyone.
Remember in the glorious 2000 fixture over France: Brian OâDriscoll scored three sensational tries and yet Ireland only won 25-27.
Ireland are 21 points ahead of England, which will most likely shift to 36 points this weekend. England and Tuilagi could reasonably make this up over Italy. So with the Championship in mind, tomorrow is a must win, ideally by 30ish points. So, do Ireland bring a canon to the gunfight or rely on pace and precision?
Ignoring the previous brilliance of Italian legend Sergio Parisse to focus on his Scottish match and indeed Italyâs performance is the answer. Parisse and others are rested tomorrow, which may be no bad thing for Italy as both he and young outhalf Tommaso Allan were underwhelming in many facets last week. And the Italian team have technical issues which must be exposed through precision and pace.
Irelandâs offensive hits, especially from second phase onwards, should keep the Italian ball-carrier behind the gain line and his immobile support out of influence.
Itâs the next wave of Irish defence, the line speed, and crucially the hit thatâll completely stunt Italian flow and push Luciano Orquera into a kicking game; our back three have no issues there.
Multiphase plays
In attack, Italy lean on one-out multiphase plays, limiting error levels and aiming to get at weak shoulders. Their centres, especially Gonzalo Garcia, are very comfortable in traffic.
However the Italians are very exposed at their own breakdown, where there is little evidence the support runners arrive with a coordinated method of securing the ball on their terms. Peter OâMahony would have loved this.
They are also disappointing at the breakdown when defending, where only the most obvious steal option is hunted.
They are either unable or unaware of methods we take for granted. Itâs possibly a team tactic to disengage from the evolving ruck (Parisse especially keen to stay off) but dangerous against precise teams.
Scotland were unable to consistently punish Italy; Ireland will have less difficulty, with more space for Conor Murray and Eoin Reddan; ditto England.
Scotlandâs John Beattie, having secured a poor Italian clearance kick, was meekly double-teamed by prop Martin Castrogiovanni and secondrow Josh Furno. Parisse stood supervising, accepting Beattieâs success, before slipping away into the open pillar position for the next phase. Jamie Heaslip and co would simply choke-tackle Beattie in a three-man coordinated play; creating a turnover.
Article source: http://www1.skysports.com/rugby-union/news/12504/9134089/england-saxons-freddie-burns-display-defended-by-jon-callard
Ireland need to rack up points against Italy
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